One of the most popular “side” bets associated with fixed odds football coupons is the correct score forecast, and one of the most lucrative methods of profiting from these bets is to combine permutations of the most likely outcomes calculated from statistics. historical.
Here’s an example of upcoming weekends’ Premier League matches where we can exploit teams that repeatedly fail to score goals on their travels, playing away against teams that invariably underperform on the road. local league games. By selecting goal-shy teams, we have a better chance of predicting the score correctly, rather than including teams like Chelsea or Manchester United who are very capable of scoring freely beyond the normal data range.
Example 1: West Ham v Hull
Hull City currently have an excellent home record, recently drawing Chelsea and beating Manchester City. However, in 7 of his last 10 away games he has not scored. In fact, they have only managed to score 7 goals in 13 away games and have yet to achieve a Premiership win away from KC Stadium this season.
The West Ham side have been remarkably consistent with their scoring this season. In 25 league games he has scored “1” or “2” goals on 16 occasions, with 7 “0” and 2 “others”. Combining this information about the scoring patterns of the two teams, it can be seen that the likely end result will be:
West Ham 0 – 0 Hull (8/1)
West Ham 1 – 0 Hull (11/2)
West Ham 2 – 0 Hull (7/1)
The figures in parentheses after the score indicate the odds generally available (not the best odds).
The same principle can be applied to the game at Portsmouth v Stoke, where Stoke have scored just 5 goals away from The Potteries in twelve league games this season and Portsmouth have scored “1” or “2” goals (even in defeat) in their last seven league games at Fratton Park since the end of October. The odds for this match are:-
Portsmouth 0 – 0 Stoke (2/15)
Portsmouth 1 – 0 Stoke (6/1)
Portsmouth 2 – 0 Stoke (9/1)
Surprisingly, the third game to fit these criteria is Aston Villa v Burnley on Sunday. Burnley have managed one Premiership point away from Turf Moor all season, scoring just 8 goals in 13 games. Aston Villa have played 13 home games in the league this season, in 4 of which they have not scored, in 4 they have scored a single goal and there have been 3 games at Villa Park in which they have scored, they have scored twice. Again, we can determine that the result between these two teams is potentially in the range of:
Aston Villa 0 – 0 Burnley (10/1)
Aston Villa 1-0 Burnley (11/2)
Aston Villa 2 – 0 Burnley (5/1)
Combining the three most likely outcomes of these three games into a permanent triple consists of 27 bets. [(1 from 3) x (1 from 3) x (1 from 3)] and with these matches in particular, if the statistically most likely outcomes are achieved, your earnings will range from 273 to 990 points for every 27 points wagered.
This style of betting can be applied to other events (for example, fixed bets on tennis matches). It is worth noting that standing bets can be difficult to place online, and may require a call to the betting account holder or a visit to your local bookmaker to place them.